ACGL Stock Analysis: Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, after the Nov 3 close. Nasdaq, Insurance - Diversified. Refreshed every trading day after the nightly scan.

$107.79 -1.39% Nov 3 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 3, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates ACGL EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Aug 6, 2026 at $99.29. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Sep 3, 2026 at $99.83; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 69, and the price sits 9.7% above the 50-day average and 11.2% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily EXIT since Aug 6, 2026 at $99.29. Weekly EXIT since Dec 5, 2025 at $91.72. Monthly EXIT since May 2026.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termEXIT

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Sep 3, 2026 at $99.83; no open dip position. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on Apr 3, 2026 at $96.74; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily: Descending channelINVALIDATED
Daily: Falling wedgeINVALIDATED

The daily descending channel that broke out on Oct 15, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 17, 2026. The daily falling wedge that broke out on Oct 8, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 16, 2026.

Daily indicators at the Nov 3 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)68.7strong
MACD / signal2.66 / 1.80above signal, falling
ADX (14)28.8trending
+DI / -DI37.0 / 11.9buyers lead
ATR (14)2.292.1% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 20100.86+6.9%
SMA 5098.27+9.7%
SMA 20096.97+11.2%
Bollinger (20, 2)93.04 to 108.68near the upper band
52-week range84.70 to 110.2690% of range
Volume2.1M0.9x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on ACGL

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (3.0y)
40%win rate
+2.8%avg per trade
5closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (2 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (4 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (3.0y)
73%win rate
+0.2%avg per trade
15closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
67%win rate
+1.8%avg per trade
6closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (3 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on ACGL

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-10-15PatternsDaily Descending channel breakout 97.84target +7.1%, invalidated Oct 17
2026-10-08PatternsDaily Falling wedge breakout 94.10target +13.6%, invalidated Oct 16
2026-09-30PatternsDaily Falling wedge breakdown 93.65target -11.8%, invalidated Oct 3
2026-09-03ReboundShort term EXIT 99.83closed the BUY from Aug 31 at +1.8%
2026-08-31ReboundShort term BUY 98.072-day RSI 8.8
2026-08-14ReboundShort term EXIT 98.71closed the BUY at +0.5%
2026-08-06TrendShort term EXIT 99.29closed the BUY from $104.55 at -5.0%
2026-08-05TrendShort term EXIT 99.09closed the BUY from $104.55 at -5.2%
2026-07-29TrendShort term BUY 104.55later closed
2026-05-31TrendLong term EXIT 89.34closed the BUY from $54.68 at +63.4%

The full ACGL analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on ACGL: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

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Questions about ACGL

Is ACGL in an uptrend right now?

Not by the Trend algo's reading, on any horizon. The daily horizon is EXIT since Aug 6, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Dec 5, 2025. The monthly horizon is EXIT since May 2026. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is ACGL oversold?

No, the opposite: momentum is strong. The daily RSI (14) closed at 68.7; the classic oversold line is 30.

What chart pattern is ACGL forming?

The daily descending channel that broke out on Oct 15, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 17, 2026. The daily falling wedge that broke out on Oct 8, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 16, 2026.

Where is ACGL's 200-day moving average?

$96.97 at the Nov 3, 2026 close, with the stock at $107.79, 11.2% above it. The 50-day average is $98.27, 9.7% below the price.

Is ACGL a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other financial services stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 3, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 4, 2026 04:00 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/ACGL.json