FLY Stock Analysis: Firefly Aerospace Inc.

Updated Nov 3, 2026, after the Nov 2 close. Nasdaq, Aerospace & Defense. Refreshed every trading day from the latest close.

$16.29 -9.17% Nov 2 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 2, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates FLY EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Aug 11, 2026 at $26.36. The mid-term (weekly) horizon reads EXIT; the long-term (monthly) horizon has no confirmed signal yet, the stock's monthly history is still too short. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Jun 16, 2026 at $30.95; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 36, and the price sits 21.3% under the 50-day average and 40.0% under the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)No signal yet

Daily EXIT since Aug 11, 2026 at $26.36. Weekly EXIT since Aug 28, 2026 at $21.26.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termNo dip signal

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Jun 16, 2026 at $30.95; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily and weekly chartsNo active pattern

No active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart.

Daily indicators at the Nov 2 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)35.5weak, not yet oversold
MACD / signal-0.90 / -0.98above signal, falling
ADX (14)20.8weak trend
+DI / -DI19.3 / 32.4sellers lead
ATR (14)1.469.0% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 2018.64-12.6%
SMA 5020.71-21.3%
SMA 20027.13-40.0%
Bollinger (20, 2)15.12 to 22.15near the lower band
52-week range15.99 to 62.171% of range
Volume3.2M1.1x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on FLY

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (1.1y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, mid term (1.2y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (1 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (0 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (5mo) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (1 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, mid term Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (0 so far; 5 needed).
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (0 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on FLY

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-08-28TrendMid term EXIT 21.26closed the BUY from $32.93 at -35.4%
2026-08-11TrendShort term EXIT 26.36closed the BUY from $29.76 at -11.4%
2026-06-16ReboundShort term EXIT 30.95closed the BUY from Jun 2 at -28.6%
2026-06-02ReboundShort term BUY 43.37
2026-04-03TrendMid term BUY 32.93later closed
2026-04-01TrendShort term BUY 29.76later closed
2026-03-04TrendShort term EXIT 21.40closed the BUY from $33.41 at -35.9%
2026-01-16TrendShort term BUY 33.41later closed
2025-12-10TrendShort term EXIT 21.30closed the BUY from $49.52 at -57.0%
2025-09-22TrendShort term BUY 49.52later closed

The full FLY analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on FLY: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

Free on the App Store and Google Play. Not installed? The button takes you to the store.

Questions about FLY

Is FLY in an uptrend right now?

Not by the Trend algo's reading, on any horizon. The daily horizon is EXIT since Aug 11, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Aug 28, 2026. The monthly horizon has no confirmed signal yet; the stock's monthly history is still too short. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is FLY oversold?

Close to it. The daily RSI (14) closed at 35.5; the classic oversold line is 30.

Where is FLY's 200-day moving average?

$27.13 at the Nov 2, 2026 close, with the stock at $16.29, 40.0% below it. The 50-day average is $20.71, 21.3% above the price.

Is FLY a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other industrials stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 2, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 3, 2026 00:12 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/FLY.json