MSFT Stock Analysis: Microsoft Corporation

Updated Nov 4, 2026, after the Nov 3 close. Nasdaq, Software - Infrastructure. Refreshed every trading day after the nightly scan.

$520.99 +2.74% Nov 3 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 3, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates MSFT BUY on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Aug 4, 2026 at $492.81. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read BUY and BUY. The Rebound algo's Short term profile flagged a BUY on Oct 22, 2026 at $521.08, after the stock closed 2.2% below its 12-day average with a 2-day RSI of 9. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 49, and the price sits 1.3% above the 50-day average and 19.1% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)BUY
Mid term (weekly)BUY
Long term (monthly)BUY

Daily BUY since Aug 4, 2026 at $492.81. Weekly BUY since Oct 31, 2025 at $514.55. Monthly BUY since Jan 2016.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termBUY
Mid termNo dip signal

Short term: BUY on Oct 22, 2026 at $521.08 (2-day RSI 9.3, close 2.2% below the 12-day average). The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily: Ascending channelINVALIDATED
Weekly: Bull pennantINVALIDATED

The daily ascending channel that broke down on Nov 2, 2026 was invalidated on Nov 4, 2026. The weekly bull pennant that broke out on Sep 25, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 10, 2026.

Daily indicators at the Nov 3 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)49.4neutral
MACD / signal2.20 / 5.40below signal, rising
ADX (14)22.9weak trend
+DI / -DI13.2 / 21.9sellers lead
ATR (14)13.042.5% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 20529.66-1.6%
SMA 50514.06+1.3%
SMA 200437.44+19.1%
Bollinger (20, 2)513.53 to 545.79inside the bands
52-week range348.54 to 551.1585% of range
Volume19.9M0.9x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on MSFT

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (3.0y)
38%win rate
-0.8%avg per trade
8closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (1 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.9y)
62%win rate
+0.2%avg per trade
16closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
100%win rate
+3.6%avg per trade
9closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (2 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on MSFT

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-11-02PatternsDaily Ascending channel breakdown 513.48target -7.9%, invalidated Nov 4
2026-10-22ReboundShort term BUY 521.082-day RSI 9.3, open
2026-09-25PatternsWeekly Bull pennant breakout 505.93target +27.9%, invalidated Oct 10
2026-08-25ReboundShort term EXIT 491.71closed the BUY at +2.6%
2026-08-21ReboundShort term EXIT 483.24closed the BUY at +0.8%
2026-08-04TrendShort term BUY 492.81open
2026-04-14TrendShort term EXIT 392.26
2025-10-31TrendMid term BUY 514.55open
2025-09-12ReboundMid term EXIT 505.74closed the BUY at +3.0%
2016-01-31TrendLong term BUY 48.02open

The full MSFT analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on MSFT: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

Free on the App Store and Google Play. Not installed? The button takes you to the store.

Questions about MSFT

Is MSFT in an uptrend right now?

Yes, on all three horizons. The daily horizon is BUY since Aug 4, 2026. The weekly horizon is BUY since Oct 31, 2025. The monthly horizon is BUY since January 2016. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is MSFT oversold?

No. The daily RSI (14) closed at 49.4; the classic oversold line is 30. On the shorter scale the Rebound algo uses, the 2-day RSI fell to 9 on Oct 22, 2026 and the stock closed 2.2% under its 12-day average, which is what triggered its BUY.

What chart pattern is MSFT forming?

The daily ascending channel that broke down on Nov 2, 2026 was invalidated on Nov 4, 2026. The weekly bull pennant that broke out on Sep 25, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 10, 2026.

Where is MSFT's 200-day moving average?

$437.44 at the Nov 3, 2026 close, with the stock at $520.99, 19.1% above it. The 50-day average is $514.06, 1.3% below the price.

Is MSFT a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is BUY on the daily horizon, Rebound sees a dip worth buying for a short bounce, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other technology stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 3, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 4, 2026 04:00 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/MSFT.json