MTH Stock Analysis: Meritage Homes Corporation

Updated Nov 3, 2026, after the Nov 2 close. NYSE, Residential Construction. Refreshed every trading day from the latest close.

$69.01 +7.04% Nov 2 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 2, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates MTH EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Jul 28, 2026 at $72.70. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Aug 19, 2026 at $73.64; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 65, and the price sits 7.7% above the 50-day average and 1.4% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily EXIT since Jul 28, 2026 at $72.70. Weekly EXIT since Dec 13, 2024 at $80.06. Monthly EXIT since Oct 2025.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termEXIT

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Aug 19, 2026 at $73.64; no open dip position. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on Aug 7, 2026 at $74.04; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily and weekly chartsNo active pattern

No active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart.

Daily indicators at the Nov 2 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)65.1strong
MACD / signal0.52 / -0.48above signal, rising
ADX (14)19.4no clear trend
+DI / -DI30.4 / 16.6buyers lead
ATR (14)2.493.6% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 2061.46+12.3%
SMA 5064.08+7.7%
SMA 20068.09+1.4%
Bollinger (20, 2)55.67 to 67.25above the upper band
52-week range56.66 to 84.7544% of range
Volume1.6M1.5x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on MTH

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (3.0y)
12%win rate
-5.2%avg per trade
8closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (4 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.9y)
64%win rate
-0.0%avg per trade
22closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
85%win rate
+5.7%avg per trade
13closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (0 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on MTH

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-08-19ReboundShort term EXIT 73.64closed the BUY from Aug 18 at +5.0%
2026-08-18ReboundShort term BUY 70.16
2026-08-07ReboundMid term EXIT 74.04closed the BUY from Jul 31 at +6.3%
2026-08-03ReboundShort term EXIT 71.77closed the BUY from Jul 30 at +2.1%
2026-07-31ReboundMid term BUY 69.68
2026-07-30ReboundShort term BUY 70.29
2026-07-28TrendShort term EXIT 72.70closed the BUY from $84.55 at -14.0%
2026-07-20ReboundShort term EXIT 70.65closed the BUY from Jul 6 at -10.9%
2026-07-06ReboundShort term BUY 79.31
2026-06-26TrendShort term BUY 84.55later closed

The full MTH analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on MTH: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

Free on the App Store and Google Play. Not installed? The button takes you to the store.

Questions about MTH

Is MTH in an uptrend right now?

Not by the Trend algo's reading, on any horizon. The daily horizon is EXIT since Jul 28, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Dec 13, 2024. The monthly horizon is EXIT since October 2025. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is MTH oversold?

No, the opposite: momentum is strong. The daily RSI (14) closed at 65.1; the classic oversold line is 30.

Where is MTH's 200-day moving average?

$68.09 at the Nov 2, 2026 close, with the stock at $69.01, 1.4% above it. The 50-day average is $64.08, 7.7% below the price.

Is MTH a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other consumer cyclical stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 2, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 3, 2026 10:26 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/MTH.json