NCLH Stock Analysis: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, after the Nov 3 close. NYSE, Travel Services. Refreshed every trading day after the nightly scan.

$17.42 -2.90% Nov 3 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 3, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates NCLH EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Apr 15, 2026 at $21.12. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Jan 29, 2026 at $22.92; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 62, and the price sits 13.0% above the 50-day average and 6.6% under the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily EXIT since Apr 15, 2026 at $21.12. Weekly EXIT since Mar 20, 2026 at $18.95. Monthly EXIT since Nov 2017.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termEXIT

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Jan 29, 2026 at $22.92; no open dip position. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on Dec 5, 2025 at $18.92; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily: Bull pennantINVALIDATED

The daily bull pennant that broke down on Oct 14, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 16, 2026.

Daily indicators at the Nov 3 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)62.4strong
MACD / signal0.57 / 0.27above signal, falling
ADX (14)23.9weak trend
+DI / -DI38.5 / 16.9buyers lead
ATR (14)0.774.4% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 2015.87+9.8%
SMA 5015.41+13.0%
SMA 20018.65-6.6%
Bollinger (20, 2)13.86 to 17.88near the upper band
52-week range13.63 to 25.1333% of range
Volume17.8M0.8x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on NCLH

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (3.0y)
40%win rate
+2.1%avg per trade
5closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (4 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (13.8y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (2 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.8y)
50%win rate
-1.7%avg per trade
16closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
33%win rate
-9.0%avg per trade
6closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (1 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on NCLH

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-10-14PatternsDaily Bull pennant breakdown invalidated Oct 16
2026-04-15TrendShort term EXIT 21.12
2026-04-14TrendShort term EXIT 21.09closed the BUY from $24.53 at -14.0%
2026-03-20TrendMid term EXIT 18.95closed the BUY from $26.65 at -28.9%
2026-01-29ReboundShort term EXIT 22.92closed the BUY at -0.7%
2026-01-26ReboundShort term EXIT 20.79closed the BUY at -10.0%
2025-12-05ReboundMid term EXIT 18.92closed the BUY at -15.7%
2017-11-30TrendLong term EXIT 54.16closed the BUY from $59.46 at -8.9%

The full NCLH analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on NCLH: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

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Questions about NCLH

Is NCLH in an uptrend right now?

Not by the Trend algo's reading, on any horizon. The daily horizon is EXIT since Apr 15, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Mar 20, 2026. The monthly horizon is EXIT since November 2017. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is NCLH oversold?

No, the opposite: momentum is strong. The daily RSI (14) closed at 62.4; the classic oversold line is 30.

What chart pattern is NCLH forming?

The daily bull pennant that broke down on Oct 14, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 16, 2026.

Where is NCLH's 200-day moving average?

$18.65 at the Nov 3, 2026 close, with the stock at $17.42, 6.6% below it. The 50-day average is $15.41, 13.0% below the price.

Is NCLH a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other consumer cyclical stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 3, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 4, 2026 04:00 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/NCLH.json