NVAX Stock Analysis: Novavax, Inc.

Updated Nov 3, 2026, after the Nov 2 close. Nasdaq, Biotechnology. Refreshed every trading day from the latest close.

$9.53 -5.46% Nov 2 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 2, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates NVAX BUY on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Aug 21, 2026 at $8.94. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read BUY and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Oct 30, 2026 at $10.08; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 41, and the price sits 9.0% under the 50-day average and 2.5% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)BUY
Mid term (weekly)BUY
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily BUY since Aug 21, 2026 at $8.94. Weekly BUY since Jan 16, 2026 at $8.01. Monthly EXIT since Feb 2023.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termEXIT

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Oct 30, 2026 at $10.08; no open dip position. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on May 8, 2026 at $10.11; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily and weekly chartsNo active pattern

No active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart.

Daily indicators at the Nov 2 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)41.0neutral
MACD / signal-0.23 / -0.00below signal, falling
ADX (14)32.9trending
+DI / -DI17.4 / 25.6sellers lead
ATR (14)0.879.1% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 2011.06-13.8%
SMA 5010.47-9.0%
SMA 2009.30+2.5%
Bollinger (20, 2)8.81 to 13.32near the lower band
52-week range6.20 to 13.3946% of range
Volume4.1M0.4x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on NVAX

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (2.5y)
33%win rate
-1.2%avg per trade
6closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (4 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (4 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.4y)
60%win rate
+0.3%avg per trade
15closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
57%win rate
-9.3%avg per trade
7closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (0 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on NVAX

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-10-30ReboundShort term EXIT 10.08closed the BUY from Oct 16 at -10.5%
2026-10-16ReboundShort term BUY 11.26
2026-10-05ReboundShort term EXIT 12.56closed the BUY from Oct 2 at +20.1%
2026-10-02ReboundShort term BUY 10.46
2026-09-17ReboundShort term EXIT 10.00closed the BUY from Sep 9 at +1.5%
2026-09-09ReboundShort term BUY 9.85
2026-08-21TrendShort term BUY 8.94open
2026-07-27ReboundShort term EXIT 7.49closed the BUY from Jul 13 at -15.9%
2026-07-13ReboundShort term BUY 8.91
2026-06-29ReboundShort term EXIT 9.36closed the BUY from Jun 25 at +9.3%

The full NVAX analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on NVAX: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

Free on the App Store and Google Play. Not installed? The button takes you to the store.

Questions about NVAX

Is NVAX in an uptrend right now?

On daily and weekly candles, yes; not on the others. The daily horizon is BUY since Aug 21, 2026. The weekly horizon is BUY since Jan 16, 2026. The monthly horizon is EXIT since February 2023. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is NVAX oversold?

No. The daily RSI (14) closed at 41.0; the classic oversold line is 30.

Where is NVAX's 200-day moving average?

$9.30 at the Nov 2, 2026 close, with the stock at $9.53, 2.5% above it. The 50-day average is $10.47, 9.0% above the price.

Is NVAX a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is BUY on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other healthcare stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 2, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 3, 2026 11:23 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/NVAX.json