PGR Stock Analysis: The Progressive Corporation

Updated Nov 4, 2026, after the Nov 3 close. NYSE, Insurance - Property & Casualty. Refreshed every trading day after the nightly scan.

$229.11 -2.06% Nov 3 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 3, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates PGR EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Aug 6, 2026 at $215.34. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and BUY. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Oct 1, 2026 at $210.96; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 59, and the price sits 5.1% above the 50-day average and 9.4% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)BUY

Daily EXIT since Aug 6, 2026 at $215.34. Weekly EXIT since Jun 27, 2025 at $247.79. Monthly BUY since Nov 2012.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termNo dip signal

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Oct 1, 2026 at $210.96; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily: Bull flagINVALIDATED
Daily: RectangleINVALIDATED

The daily bull flag that broke out on Oct 30, 2026 was invalidated on Nov 4, 2026. The daily rectangle that broke out on Oct 22, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 28, 2026.

Daily indicators at the Nov 3 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)59.1neutral
MACD / signal4.35 / 3.54above signal, falling
ADX (14)16.7no clear trend
+DI / -DI31.4 / 20.9buyers lead
ATR (14)5.032.2% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 20223.21+2.6%
SMA 50218.09+5.1%
SMA 200209.48+9.4%
Bollinger (20, 2)210.97 to 235.46inside the bands
52-week range187.78 to 239.3880% of range
Volume2.9M1.1x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on PGR

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (2.5y)
60%win rate
+0.8%avg per trade
5closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (2 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.9y)
73%win rate
+1.0%avg per trade
15closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
71%win rate
+1.8%avg per trade
7closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (2 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on PGR

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-10-30PatternsDaily Bull flag breakout 230.04target +12.7%, invalidated Nov 4
2026-10-22PatternsDaily Rectangle breakout 224.58target +10.5%, invalidated Oct 28
2026-10-01ReboundShort term EXIT 210.96closed the BUY from Sep 18 at -1.1%
2026-09-18ReboundShort term BUY 213.482-day RSI 6.8
2026-08-19ReboundShort term EXIT 217.27closed the BUY at +4.8%
2026-08-06TrendShort term EXIT 215.34closed the BUY from $215.59 at -0.1%
2026-06-23TrendShort term BUY 215.59later closed
2025-08-08ReboundMid term EXIT 231.47closed the BUY at -5.9%
2025-06-27TrendMid term EXIT 247.79closed the BUY from $140.33 at +76.6%
2012-11-30TrendLong term BUY 14.13open

The full PGR analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on PGR: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

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Questions about PGR

Is PGR in an uptrend right now?

On monthly candles, yes; not on the others. The daily horizon is EXIT since Aug 6, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Jun 27, 2025. The monthly horizon is BUY since November 2012. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is PGR oversold?

No. The daily RSI (14) closed at 59.1; the classic oversold line is 30.

What chart pattern is PGR forming?

The daily bull flag that broke out on Oct 30, 2026 was invalidated on Nov 4, 2026. The daily rectangle that broke out on Oct 22, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 28, 2026.

Where is PGR's 200-day moving average?

$209.48 at the Nov 3, 2026 close, with the stock at $229.11, 9.4% above it. The 50-day average is $218.09, 5.1% below the price.

Is PGR a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other financial services stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 3, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 4, 2026 04:00 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/PGR.json