RARE Stock Analysis: Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.

Updated Nov 3, 2026, after the Nov 2 close. Nasdaq, Biotechnology. Refreshed every trading day from the latest close.

$16.30 +1.24% Nov 2 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 2, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates RARE EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Aug 18, 2026 at $25.49. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Jul 28, 2026 at $25.98; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 51, and the price sits 3.1% under the 50-day average and 28.7% under the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily EXIT since Aug 18, 2026 at $25.49. Weekly EXIT since Jun 18, 2021 at $94.92. Monthly EXIT since Nov 2017.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termNo dip signal

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Jul 28, 2026 at $25.98; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily and weekly chartsNo active pattern

No active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart.

Daily indicators at the Nov 2 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)51.4neutral
MACD / signal0.01 / -0.26above signal, falling
ADX (14)15.7no clear trend
+DI / -DI26.1 / 21.2buyers lead
ATR (14)0.845.2% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 2015.64+4.2%
SMA 5016.82-3.1%
SMA 20022.86-28.7%
Bollinger (20, 2)14.14 to 17.13inside the bands
52-week range12.73 to 39.8913% of range
Volume4.8M1.4x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on RARE

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (2.9y)
14%win rate
-5.0%avg per trade
7closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (2 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (12.8y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (1 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.8y)
27%win rate
-6.6%avg per trade
11closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
50%win rate
-4.8%avg per trade
6closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (0 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on RARE

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-08-18TrendShort term EXIT 25.49closed the BUY from $27.44 at -7.1%
2026-07-28ReboundShort term EXIT 25.98closed the BUY from Jul 14 at -18.9%
2026-07-14ReboundShort term BUY 32.03
2026-06-18TrendShort term BUY 27.44later closed
2025-12-31ReboundShort term EXIT 23.00closed the BUY from Dec 16 at -33.0%
2025-12-22TrendShort term EXIT 34.75closed the BUY from $36.30 at -4.3%
2025-12-16ReboundShort term BUY 34.34
2025-12-09TrendShort term BUY 36.30later closed
2025-11-24TrendShort term EXIT 32.78closed the BUY from $35.31 at -7.2%
2025-10-27TrendShort term BUY 35.31later closed

The full RARE analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on RARE: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

Free on the App Store and Google Play. Not installed? The button takes you to the store.

Questions about RARE

Is RARE in an uptrend right now?

Not by the Trend algo's reading, on any horizon. The daily horizon is EXIT since Aug 18, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Jun 18, 2021. The monthly horizon is EXIT since November 2017. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is RARE oversold?

No. The daily RSI (14) closed at 51.4; the classic oversold line is 30.

Where is RARE's 200-day moving average?

$22.86 at the Nov 2, 2026 close, with the stock at $16.30, 28.7% below it. The 50-day average is $16.82, 3.1% above the price.

Is RARE a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other healthcare stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 2, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 3, 2026 13:34 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/RARE.json