Trend
rides uptrends, long onlyShort term (daily)BUY
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)BUY
Daily BUY since Sep 17, 2026 at $40.35. Weekly EXIT since Mar 7, 2025 at $38.24. Monthly BUY since Apr 2022.
$31.39
+3.12% Nov 3 close
The short answer
As of the Nov 3, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates SMCI BUY on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Sep 17, 2026 at $40.35. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and BUY. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Oct 26, 2026 at $32.69; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo sees a bear pennant on the daily chart that broke down on Oct 30, 2026 at $34.24, with a measured target about 43% lower. The daily RSI (14) is 38, and the price sits 17.4% under the 50-day average and 3.9% under the 200-day.
Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.
What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method
Rebound
buys sharp dipsShort termEXIT
Mid termNo dip signal
Short term: the last dip trade closed on Oct 26, 2026 at $32.69; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.
Patterns
chart shapes with targetsDaily: Bear pennantBREAKDOWN
Daily: Ascending channelINVALIDATED
Daily: Bull flagINVALIDATED
The bear pennant on the daily chart broke down on Oct 30, 2026 at $34.24, measured target 43.4% lower (about $19.38). The daily ascending channel that broke down on Oct 13, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 17, 2026. The daily bull flag that broke out on Oct 2, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 10, 2026.
Daily indicators at the Nov 3 close
Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.
| Momentum | Value | Read |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.5 | weak, not yet oversold |
| MACD / signal | -1.87 / -1.52 | below signal, rising |
| ADX (14) | 20.7 | weak trend |
| +DI / -DI | 19.6 / 31.0 | sellers lead |
| ATR (14) | 2.41 | 7.7% of price |
| Price levels | Value | vs price |
|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | 35.54 | -11.7% |
| SMA 50 | 38.02 | -17.4% |
| SMA 200 | 32.67 | -3.9% |
| Bollinger (20, 2) | 27.55 to 43.53 | inside the bands |
| 52-week range | 19.48 to 53.01 | 36% of range |
| Volume | 61.5M | 1.7x the 20-day average |
How the algos have done on SMCI
Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.
Trend, short term (2.9y)
29%win rate
+13.1%avg per trade
7closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y)
Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (4 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (19.7y)
Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (2 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.9y)
84%win rate
+4.5%avg per trade
19closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
62%win rate
+4.2%avg per trade
8closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y)
Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (3 detected; 5 needed).
Recent signals on SMCI
| Date | Algo | Horizon | Signal | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Patterns | Daily | Bear pennant breakdown | 34.24 | target -43.4% |
| 2026-10-26 | Rebound | Short term | EXIT | 32.69 | closed the BUY from Oct 12 at -18.2% |
| 2026-10-13 | Patterns | Daily | Ascending channel breakdown | 39.57 | target -23.8%, invalidated Oct 17 |
| 2026-10-12 | Rebound | Short term | BUY | 39.98 | 2-day RSI 7.6 |
| 2026-10-02 | Patterns | Daily | Bull flag breakout | 41.91 | target +20.0%, invalidated Oct 10 |
| 2026-09-17 | Trend | Short term | BUY | 40.35 | open |
| 2026-07-23 | Trend | Short term | EXIT | 31.20 | |
| 2026-06-18 | Rebound | Short term | EXIT | 30.66 | closed the BUY at -26.4% |
| 2026-06-08 | Rebound | Short term | EXIT | 43.99 | closed the BUY at +5.6% |
| 2025-09-12 | Rebound | Mid term | EXIT | 45.00 | closed the BUY at +8.3% |
The full SMCI analysis is in the QuantivFlow app
- The bear pennant drawn on the chart, with its $19.38 target
- RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
- How each algo has done on SMCI: win rate, average gain, every past signal
- A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes
Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".
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Questions about SMCI
Is SMCI in an uptrend right now?
On daily and monthly candles, yes; not on the others. The daily horizon is BUY since Sep 17, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Mar 7, 2025. The monthly horizon is BUY since April 2022. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.
Is SMCI oversold?
Close to it. The daily RSI (14) closed at 38.5; the classic oversold line is 30.
What chart pattern is SMCI forming?
The bear pennant on the daily chart broke down on Oct 30, 2026 at $34.24, measured target 43.4% lower (about $19.38). The daily ascending channel that broke down on Oct 13, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 17, 2026. The daily bull flag that broke out on Oct 2, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 10, 2026.
Where is SMCI's 200-day moving average?
$32.67 at the Nov 3, 2026 close, with the stock at $31.39, 3.9% below it. The 50-day average is $38.02, 17.4% above the price.
Is SMCI a buy today?
QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is BUY on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees a bear pennant that broke down with a target 43% lower. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.
Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.
Data as of Nov 3, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 4, 2026 04:00 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/SMCI.json