TOL Stock Analysis: Toll Brothers, Inc.

Updated Nov 3, 2026, after the Nov 2 close. NYSE, Residential Construction. Refreshed every trading day from the latest close.

$153.35 +5.07% Nov 2 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 2, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates TOL EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Jul 22, 2026 at $148.69. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Aug 25, 2026 at $150.54; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 72, and the price sits 11.2% above the 50-day average and 6.8% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily EXIT since Jul 22, 2026 at $148.69. Weekly EXIT since Apr 3, 2026 at $135.08. Monthly EXIT since Jan 2019.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termEXIT

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Aug 25, 2026 at $150.54; no open dip position. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on Apr 17, 2026 at $146.14; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily and weekly chartsNo active pattern

No active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart.

Daily indicators at the Nov 2 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)72.2overbought
MACD / signal2.70 / 0.82above signal, rising
ADX (14)18.3no clear trend
+DI / -DI36.8 / 12.7buyers lead
ATR (14)4.092.7% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 20137.52+11.5%
SMA 50137.85+11.2%
SMA 200143.64+6.8%
Bollinger (20, 2)126.17 to 148.87above the upper band
52-week range122.70 to 167.4369% of range
Volume1.7M1.7x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on TOL

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (2.7y)
43%win rate
+2.0%avg per trade
7closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.8y)
68%win rate
-0.2%avg per trade
19closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
86%win rate
+6.9%avg per trade
7closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (0 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on TOL

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-08-25ReboundShort term EXIT 150.54closed the BUY from Aug 17 at +3.7%
2026-08-17ReboundShort term BUY 145.17
2026-07-22TrendShort term EXIT 148.69closed the BUY from $149.11 at -0.3%
2026-07-16ReboundShort term EXIT 155.51closed the BUY from Jul 2 at -0.7%
2026-07-02ReboundShort term BUY 156.56
2026-06-17TrendShort term BUY 149.11later closed
2026-05-13ReboundShort term EXIT 132.39closed the BUY from Apr 29 at -4.8%
2026-05-04TrendShort term EXIT 134.55closed the BUY from $152.43 at -11.7%
2026-04-29ReboundShort term BUY 139.06
2026-04-17ReboundMid term EXIT 146.14closed the BUY from Mar 13 at +7.5%

The full TOL analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on TOL: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

Free on the App Store and Google Play. Not installed? The button takes you to the store.

Questions about TOL

Is TOL in an uptrend right now?

Not by the Trend algo's reading, on any horizon. The daily horizon is EXIT since Jul 22, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Apr 3, 2026. The monthly horizon is EXIT since January 2019. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is TOL oversold?

No, the opposite: momentum is strong. The daily RSI (14) closed at 72.2; the classic oversold line is 30.

Where is TOL's 200-day moving average?

$143.64 at the Nov 2, 2026 close, with the stock at $153.35, 6.8% above it. The 50-day average is $137.85, 11.2% below the price.

Is TOL a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other consumer cyclical stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 2, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 3, 2026 16:36 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/TOL.json