TSM Stock Analysis: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Updated Nov 3, 2026, after the Nov 2 close. NYSE, Semiconductors. Refreshed every trading day from the latest close.

$398.63 -1.85% Nov 2 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 2, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates TSM EXIT on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Oct 9, 2026 at $453.31. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read BUY and BUY. The Rebound algo's Short term profile flagged a BUY on Oct 30, 2026 at $406.13. The Patterns algo sees a bear flag on the daily chart that broke down on Nov 2, 2026 at $400.74, with a measured target about 20% lower. The daily RSI (14) is 36, and the price sits 8.2% under the 50-day average and 0.1% under the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)EXIT
Mid term (weekly)BUY
Long term (monthly)BUY

Daily EXIT since Oct 9, 2026 at $453.31. Weekly BUY since Mar 8, 2024 at $141.30. Monthly BUY since Jan 2024.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termBUY
Mid termEXIT

Short term: BUY on Oct 30, 2026 at $406.13. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on Aug 14, 2026 at $425.21; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily: Bear flagBREAKDOWN

The bear flag on the daily chart broke down on Nov 2, 2026 at $400.74, measured target 20.0% lower (about $320.59).

Daily indicators at the Nov 2 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)36.1weak, not yet oversold
MACD / signal-7.27 / -4.24below signal, falling
ADX (14)21.5weak trend
+DI / -DI18.5 / 38.5sellers lead
ATR (14)13.713.4% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 20433.27-8.0%
SMA 50434.15-8.2%
SMA 200398.95-0.1%
Bollinger (20, 2)391.52 to 475.03near the lower band
52-week range264.03 to 487.4760% of range
Volume13.1M1.1x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on TSM

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (3.0y)
58%win rate
+4.1%avg per trade
12closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (3 so far; 5 needed).
Trend, long term (20y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (1 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.9y)
72%win rate
+0.9%avg per trade
25closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
82%win rate
+5.0%avg per trade
11closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (1 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on TSM

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-11-02PatternsDaily Bear flag breakdown 400.74target -20.0%
2026-10-30ReboundShort term BUY 406.13open
2026-10-23ReboundShort term EXIT 418.51closed the BUY from Oct 9 at -7.7%
2026-10-09ReboundShort term BUY 453.31
2026-10-09TrendShort term EXIT 453.31closed the BUY from $457.99 at -1.0%
2026-10-08TrendShort term BUY 457.99later closed
2026-08-14ReboundMid term EXIT 425.21closed the BUY from Jul 17 at +7.0%
2026-07-31ReboundShort term EXIT 403.17closed the BUY from Jul 28 at +3.0%
2026-07-28ReboundShort term BUY 391.26
2026-07-21ReboundShort term EXIT 423.47closed the BUY from Jul 13 at +0.7%

The full TSM analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • The bear flag drawn on the chart, with its $320.59 target
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on TSM: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

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Questions about TSM

Is TSM in an uptrend right now?

On weekly and monthly candles, yes; not on the others. The daily horizon is EXIT since Oct 9, 2026. The weekly horizon is BUY since Mar 8, 2024. The monthly horizon is BUY since January 2024. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is TSM oversold?

Close to it. The daily RSI (14) closed at 36.1; the classic oversold line is 30.

What chart pattern is TSM forming?

The bear flag on the daily chart broke down on Nov 2, 2026 at $400.74, measured target 20.0% lower (about $320.59).

Where is TSM's 200-day moving average?

$398.95 at the Nov 2, 2026 close, with the stock at $398.63, 0.1% below it. The 50-day average is $434.15, 8.2% above the price.

Is TSM a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is EXIT on the daily horizon, Rebound sees a dip worth buying for a short bounce, Patterns sees a bear flag that broke down with a target 20% lower. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other technology stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 2, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 3, 2026 16:53 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/TSM.json