ULTA Stock Analysis: Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, after the Nov 3 close. Nasdaq, Specialty Retail. Refreshed every trading day after the nightly scan.

$634.89 -0.42% Nov 3 close

The short answer

As of the Nov 3, 2026 close, QuantivFlow's Trend algo rates ULTA BUY on the short-term (daily) horizon, a stance it has held since Oct 22, 2026 at $635.01. The mid-term (weekly) and long-term (monthly) horizons read EXIT and EXIT. The Rebound algo's last dip trade closed on Apr 17, 2026 at $553.36; it holds no dip position now. The Patterns algo has no active chart pattern on the daily or weekly chart. The daily RSI (14) is 65, and the price sits 11.6% above the 50-day average and 14.9% above the 200-day.

Three algos, three opinions is normal: Trend follows the established direction, Rebound buys sharp dips inside it, Patterns reads the chart shape. Not investment advice.

What Trend meansA trend-following algo. BUY while an uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT when it breaks. Long only, judged on daily, weekly and monthly candles.
What Rebound meansA dip-buying algo. BUY after a sharp short-term drop in an otherwise healthy stock, EXIT once price closes back above its 12-day average. Short term and Mid term profiles.
What Patterns meansA chart-shape detector. Finds wedges, double tops and bottoms, cup and handle and more, marks the breakout or breakdown and measures the textbook price target. Full method

Trend

rides uptrends, long only
Short term (daily)BUY
Mid term (weekly)EXIT
Long term (monthly)EXIT

Daily BUY since Oct 22, 2026 at $635.01. Weekly EXIT since Sep 25, 2026 at $545.20. Monthly EXIT since May 2024.

Rebound

buys sharp dips
Short termEXIT
Mid termEXIT

Short term: the last dip trade closed on Mar 18, 2026 at $520.65; no open dip position. Mid term: the last dip trade closed on Apr 17, 2026 at $553.36; no open dip position. The exit comes when price closes back above its 12-bar average or after 10 bars.

Patterns

chart shapes with targets
Daily: Bull pennantINVALIDATED
Daily: Ascending triangleINVALIDATED

The daily bull pennant that broke out on Oct 23, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 29, 2026. The daily ascending triangle that broke out on Oct 9, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 17, 2026.

Daily indicators at the Nov 3 close

Read from the daily chart. The weekly and monthly readings are in the app.

MomentumValueRead
RSI (14)65.4strong
MACD / signal22.34 / 20.73above signal, falling
ADX (14)37.6trending
+DI / -DI32.6 / 12.9buyers lead
ATR (14)17.262.7% of price
Price levelsValuevs price
SMA 20605.74+4.8%
SMA 50569.09+11.6%
SMA 200552.61+14.9%
Bollinger (20, 2)548.39 to 663.09inside the bands
52-week range443.60 to 714.9770% of range
Volume447K0.9x the 20-day average

How the algos have done on ULTA

Closed signals on this stock, from each algo's own history on the horizon named. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Trend, short term (2.9y)
60%win rate
+1.2%avg per trade
5closed trades
Trend, mid term (10y)
50%win rate
-5.3%avg per trade
6closed trades
Trend, long term (19.1y) Not enough closed trades on this stock yet (2 so far; 5 needed).
Rebound, short term (2.9y)
79%win rate
+0.3%avg per trade
14closed trades
Rebound, mid term (10y)
67%win rate
-2.8%avg per trade
6closed trades
Patterns, all horizons (2y) Not enough measured breaks on this stock yet (4 detected; 5 needed).

Recent signals on ULTA

DateAlgoHorizonSignalPriceNote
2026-10-23PatternsDaily Bull pennant breakout 609.26target +13.0%, invalidated Oct 29
2026-10-22TrendShort term BUY 635.01open
2026-10-09PatternsDaily Ascending triangle breakout 566.81target +17.1%, invalidated Oct 17
2026-10-01PatternsDaily Ascending triangle breakdown 542.43target -22.8%, invalidated Oct 3
2026-09-25TrendMid term EXIT 545.20closed the BUY from $492.73 at +10.6%
2026-06-30PatternsMonthly Ascending channel breakdown 474.96target -48.7%
2026-06-25TrendShort term EXIT 485.52
2026-04-17ReboundMid term EXIT 553.36closed the BUY at -14.4%
2026-03-18ReboundShort term EXIT 520.65closed the BUY at -21.3%
2026-03-11ReboundShort term EXIT 652.65closed the BUY at -1.3%

The full ULTA analysis is in the QuantivFlow app

  • Chart patterns drawn on the chart, with their measured targets
  • RSI, MACD, ADX, moving averages, Bollinger Bands and volume, read for you
  • How each algo has done on ULTA: win rate, average gain, every past signal
  • A push notification the day a signal or pattern changes

Free on both stores. Scan the code with your phone, or search "QuantivFlow".

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Questions about ULTA

Is ULTA in an uptrend right now?

On daily candles, yes; not on the others. The daily horizon is BUY since Oct 22, 2026. The weekly horizon is EXIT since Sep 25, 2026. The monthly horizon is EXIT since May 2024. Trend is long only: BUY means the uptrend holds on that horizon, EXIT means it broke.

Is ULTA oversold?

No, the opposite: momentum is strong. The daily RSI (14) closed at 65.4; the classic oversold line is 30.

What chart pattern is ULTA forming?

The daily bull pennant that broke out on Oct 23, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 29, 2026. The daily ascending triangle that broke out on Oct 9, 2026 was invalidated on Oct 17, 2026.

Where is ULTA's 200-day moving average?

$552.61 at the Nov 3, 2026 close, with the stock at $634.89, 14.9% above it. The 50-day average is $569.09, 11.6% below the price.

Is ULTA a buy today?

QuantivFlow does not give advice. It shows what each algo sees: Trend is BUY on the daily horizon, Rebound holds no dip position, Patterns sees no active chart pattern. How you weigh the three depends on your horizon and risk tolerance; past signals do not guarantee future results.

Other consumer cyclical stocks

Generated by QuantivFlow after every trading day from the same scan that powers the app. Signals describe what the algos observed on end-of-day data, not what you should do. QuantivFlow is not a broker or an investment adviser. Trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Data as of Nov 3, 2026 close. Page updated Nov 4, 2026 04:00 UTC. Machine-readable version: quantivflow.com/stocks/ULTA.json